KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 70 97%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 2:29 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Dollar General Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiCostco Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiWendy's Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiCredit Card Competition act enacted before 2027?
Manifold Markets[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsManifold Credit Default swaps 2030
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Carbon Arc Shein Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Shein Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values the named outcome indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+10.5pt66.3%
- <40-3.5pt17.3%
- 65-89-6.0pt15.4%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $253.9K
- 24h Vol
- $209.7K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 180-199+2.0pt27.2%
- 200-219+4.0pt23.3%
- 160-179-1.0pt15.5%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+19.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $271.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T24%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19%
- $1.75–$2.0T-4.5pt16%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 180-199-0.5pt19.6%
- 200-21917.8%
- 160-17916.8%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
- Largest Company end of September?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Shein Credit Card Spend in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 70 at 97% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Shein Credit Card Spend in September resolve?
- Shein Credit Card Spend in September is scheduled to resolve on October 7, 2026.
- How is Shein Credit Card Spend in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Carbon Arc Shein Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.