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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

4.6% (24h)Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Ken Paxton (100%)

Resolved: May 27, 2026, 1:38 AM

Winning Outcome

Ken Paxton

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

96%

Consensus
Current implied probability
John Cornyn
John Cornyn 0%-4.6%
Market quality

77 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$21.2K

Liquidity

$53K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 0.1%

Market data

Updated 17 days ago

Stale
Dec 4, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Ken Paxton100%
John Cornyn0%
0%25%50%75%100%May 25May 26May 27
Outcome24hChance
John Cornyn
John Cornyn
-4.6%
0%
Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton
+4.8%
100%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If John Cornyn wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Texas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Ken Paxton wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Texas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If John Cornyn wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Texas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Ken Paxton wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Texas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.