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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. New Jersey Republican Senate nominee?
New Jersey Republican Senate nominee?

New Jersey Republican Senate nominee?

96.4% (24h)Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Justin Murphy (99%)

Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, 3:57 AM

Winning Outcome

Justin Murphy

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Justin Murphy
Justin Murphy 99%+96.4%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$739.1

Liquidity

$933.4

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.1% / 99.9%

Spread

0.8%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 10 days ago

Stale
Jan 28, 26, 10:00 PMJun 2, 27, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Justin Murphy99%
Alex Zdan1%
Richard Tabor2%
Robert Lebovics2%
Alina Habba1%
Vinnie Brand0%
Mike Testa0%
Natalie Rivera0%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 3Jun 3Jun 3
Outcome24hChance
Justin Murphy
Justin Murphy
+96.4%
99%
Alex Zdan
Alex Zdan
-87.0%
1%
Richard Tabor
Richard Tabor
-18.0%
2%
Robert Lebovics
Robert Lebovics
1%
Alina Habba
Alina Habba
+0.7%
1%
Vinnie Brand
Vinnie Brand
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Justin Murphy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Vinnie Brand wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mike Testa wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alina Habba wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alex Zdan wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Richard Tabor wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Justin Murphy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Vinnie Brand wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mike Testa wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alina Habba wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alex Zdan wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Richard Tabor wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Jersey Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.