KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 10% 98%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 99.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 11:30 PMJan 17, 27, 2:10 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 8%97%
Volume trend
$2Jul 414d of dataJul 23
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If the percent change in U.S. industrial production for “Semiconductors and related electronic components” in 2026 is above 8, as reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in the G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value used will be the annual percent change for 2026 shown in Table 2, “Industrial Production: Market and Industry Groups,” for the industry group “Semiconductors and related electronic components” / NAICS 3344, measured on a fourth-quarter-to-fourth-quarter basis.
- If the percent change in U.S. industrial production for “Semiconductors and related electronic components” in 2026 is above 10, as reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in the G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the percent change in U.S. industrial production for “Semiconductors and related electronic components” in 2026 is above 12, as reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in the G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the percent change in U.S. industrial production for “Semiconductors and related electronic components” in 2026 is above 14, as reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in the G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the percent change in U.S. industrial production for “Semiconductors and related electronic components” in 2026 is above 16, as reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in the G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release, then the market resolves to Yes.