KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 60 million (99%)
Resolved: Aug 11, 2026, 2:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 11, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 60 million 99%+3.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$42.2K
Liquidity
$40.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 39 days ago
StaleMay 20, 26, 6:39 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 10:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Above 70 million1%
Above 69 million1%
Above 74 million1%
Above 72 million1%
Above 66 million99%
Above 68 million99%
Above 64 million99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Sea Ltd reports above 60000000 garena quarterly paying users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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- If Sea Ltd reports above 62000000 garena quarterly paying users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sea Ltd reports above 64000000 garena quarterly paying users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sea Ltd reports above 66000000 garena quarterly paying users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.