KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (76%)
Resolved: May 13, 2026, 2:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 76%
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.5K
Liquidity
$85.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 13.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 111 days ago
StaleMar 26, 26, 2:00 PMMay 20, 26, 9:30 AM
Trends
76%
24%
Rules
If the International Energy Agency reports in the first edition of its Oil Market Report containing the April 2026 observation that Russia's crude exports for April 2026 were below 4.0 million barrels per day, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↑ $90+29.6pt93%
- ↑ $95+22.5pt56%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $461.2K
- 24h Vol
- $299.8K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 1, 2026?
- Above $85.99+62.0pt99%
- Above $86.49+67.0pt99%
- Above $83.99+21.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 3113%
- September 30-0.6pt2%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3111%
- November 30-1.0pt6%
- October 31+0.1pt2%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 3.980+17.0pt99%
- Above 4.000+17.0pt99%
- Above 3.90099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $118.9K
KALSHICopper price on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $6.4099%
- Above $6.4499%
- Above $6.4299%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $81.2K
- 24h Vol
- $81.2K
- Gold price on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- Brent crude oil price on September 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 1?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Russia's crude exports below 4.0 mbpd in April??
- Kalshi prices No at 76% as of May 13, 2026.
- When does Russia's crude exports below 4.0 mbpd in April? resolve?
- Russia's crude exports below 4.0 mbpd in April? is scheduled to resolve on May 20, 2026.
- How is Russia's crude exports below 4.0 mbpd in April? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the International Energy Agency reports in the first edition of its Oil Market Report containing the April 2026 observation that Russia's crude exports for April 2026 were below 4.0 million barrels per day, then the market resolves to Yes.