KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
BTS 66%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$4.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Feb 20, 26, 3:00 PM UTCFeb 28, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiTop artist on Spotify in 2026?
Kalshi#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
KalshiRules
If the named outcome is #1 on IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IFPI
- IFPI’s annual year-end results are usually released in mid-February of the next calendar year.
- For example, 2025 year-end results would typically be released around mid-February 2026.
- If Drake is #1 on IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026??
- Kalshi prices BTS at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026? resolve?
- IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2027.
- How is IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is #1 on IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year, then the market resolves to Yes.