KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Minneapolis (99%)
Resolved: Sep 28, 2026, 12:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Minneapolis
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 3:46 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Miami63%
Phoenix39%
West Palm Beach5%
Chicago14%
Washington DC98%
Los Angeles4%
Dallas4%
Austin18%
San Antonio25%
Las Vegas1%
Denver1%
College Station1%
New York CityLost
PhiladelphiaLost
Washington DCLost
BostonLost
MinneapolisWon
Oklahoma CityLost
NewarkLost
TrentonLost
DallasLost
ChicagoLost
AustinLost
MiamiLost
DenverLost
Los AngelesLost
Las VegasLost
New OrleansLost
San FranciscoLost
SeattleLost
PhoenixLost
AtlantaLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the total precipitation at CLINYC in the named outcome on any day within September 26, 2026 through September 27, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Data for CLINYC can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
- If the total precipitation at CLIORD in Chicago on any day within September 26, 2026 through September 27, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reading weather data Data for CLIORD can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.