KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability2.5% to 2.9% 24%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 65.0%
Spread
51.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 11:30 PMJan 29, 27, 1:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Below 2.5%15%
Volume trend
$8Jul 87d of dataJul 24
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If the US personal saving rate for 2026 is below 2.5%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Federal Reserve Economic Data, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this market, “personal saving rate” refers to FRED series PSAVERT, Personal Saving Rate, for December 2026.
- This value is reported as a percent, seasonally adjusted annual rate, and is sourced by FRED from the U.S.
- Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will use the first value published by Federal Reserve Economic Data for December 2026.
- Revisions released after the first publication of the December 2026 value will not be considered.