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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round)
Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round)

PoliticsOne-OffElection11mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman 99%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

71 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$62.1

Liquidity

$6.6K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Apr 16, 26, 2:00 PMJun 2, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Nithya Raman99%

Rules

If Nithya Raman finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

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Rules

If Nithya Raman finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.