KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 10 days (84%)
Resolved: Sep 2, 2026, 8:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 7:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 30 days2%
Above 20 days11%
Above 10 days84%
Above 15 days31%
Above 25 days5%
Above 12 daysLost
Above 10 daysWon
Above 15 daysLost
Above 20 daysLost
Above 25 daysLost
Above 30 daysLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 5000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 2500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:PJM Interconnection - Emergency Procedures
- A calendar day counts once if the specified emergency procedure was applicable for any portion of that day, regardless of how many separate postings were issued.
- Only postings applying to PJM-RTO will count; emergencies limited to individual zones or regions will not.
- Drills will not count.
- PJM’s Postings Report explicitly counts an event on each date for which it is applicable, including events that span multiple calendar days
- Clarification (09/02/26): PJM’s Postings Report identifies 11 eligible calendar days on which the specified alert was applicable through September 2.