KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 12 days 84%+5.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$23.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 4:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:58 AM
Trends
Rules
If the the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:PJM Interconnection - Emergency Procedures
- A calendar day counts once if the specified emergency procedure was applicable for any portion of that day, regardless of how many separate postings were issued.
- Only postings applying to PJM-RTO will count; emergencies limited to individual zones or regions will not.
- Drills will not count.
- PJM’s Postings Report explicitly counts an event on each date for which it is applicable, including events that span multiple calendar days
- Clarification (09/02/26): PJM’s Postings Report identifies 11 eligible calendar days on which the specified alert was applicable through September 2.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt54%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-8.0pt48%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt33%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.7M
- 24h Vol
- $254.8K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.120+1.0pt99%
- Above 4.10099%
- Above 4.12299%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $635.2K
- 24h Vol
- $145.4K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt12%
- November 30+1.0pt7%
- October 31+0.1pt3%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+5.0pt32%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt19%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt11%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 3110%
- September 30+0.2pt1%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
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- Copper price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
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- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
- What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
- What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in September 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above 12 days at 84% as of September 5, 2026.
- When does How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? resolve?
- How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.