KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Compute (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Compute 99%+79.0ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$74.7K
Liquidity
$60.7K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 18, 26, 3:45 PMSep 4, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Compute99%
Idaho34%
Data Center75%
Trump99%
Nvidia1%
China / Chinese1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
CHIPS Act1%
Anthropic / Claude1%
Buy Back / Buyback / Repurchase1%
Event does not qualify8%
Recession1%
Situational Awareness / Leopold12%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the CNBC Mad Money originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the CNBC Mad Money originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.8pt97%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $119.1K
POLYMARKETVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $100M+0.1pt97%
- $200M+0.3pt94%
- $300M87%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $20M+1.1pt100%
- $50M+3.2pt100%
- $100M+10.1pt100%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of August?
- NVIDIA+0.1pt97%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt92%
- Company F50%
- Company G50%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETExtended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $150M+5.0pt78%
- $300M+6.0pt41%
- $500M+2.5pt18%
+4 more outcomes
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- 2nd Largest Company end of August?
- 3rd Largest Company end of August?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- 2nd Largest Company end of September?
- Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will Micron CEO say during CNBC Mad Money??
- Kalshi prices Compute at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does What will Micron CEO say during CNBC Mad Money? resolve?
- What will Micron CEO say during CNBC Mad Money? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is What will Micron CEO say during CNBC Mad Money? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.