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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Inflation
  3. How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?
How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?

Inflation
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Above 0.0% (99%)

Resolved: May 28, 2026, 2:59 PM

Winning Outcome

Above 0.0%

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Above 0.3%
Above 0.3% 10%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$115.9

Liquidity

$353.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

9.0% / 18.0%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 15 days ago

Stale
Nov 6, 25, 3:00 PMJun 4, 26, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Above 0.2%97%
Above 0.3%10%
0%25%50%75%100%May 26May 27May 28
Outcome24hChance
Above 0.3%
Above 0.3%
10%
Above 0.4%
Above 0.4%
+94.0%
98%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.2%
-4.0%
90%
Above 0.0%
Above 0.0%
99%
Above 0.1%
Above 0.1%
99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
  • It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$63,965.20+0.20%EthereumETH$1,678.34+0.09%SolanaSOL$67.94+1.38%

Related Markets

How much will core PCE increase in May 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in May 2026?

$30.2
Above 0.4%: 14%KalshiKALSHI
How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?

$0
Above 0.0%: 98%KalshiKALSHI
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?

$0
Above 0.0%: 90%KalshiKALSHI
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

$26.4K
3.8%: 37%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

$16.5K
46.0–48.9: 43%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

$11K
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BNBBNB$607.29-0.18%DogecoinDOGE$0.0879+1.40%XRPXRP$1.15+0.42%

Related News

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsBlame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindesk

Rules

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
  • It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.