KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 2900 (99%)
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, 2:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 3, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 2900 99%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$12.7K
Liquidity
$61.8K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 47 days ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 7:00 PM UTCDec 4, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Above 34001%
Above 36001%
Above 305099%
Above 300099%
Above 310099%
Above 315099%
Above 320099%
Above 325099%
Above 290099%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
1%
1%
1%
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras reports the named outcome Total production (Mboed) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai