KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 8:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 75 · —
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Stored price
Above 85 69%Market line of 6 lines
Above 85 69%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
Above 75Spread
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Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 6:22 PM UTCJan 14, 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 75
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Rules
If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Pulp, Paper, and Allied Products: Corrugated Recyclable Paper (BLS series WPU09120325; not seasonally adjusted; index June 2006=100) for December 2026 is above 85 index points, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Producer Price Index by Commodity: Pulp, Paper, and Allied Products: Corrugated Recyclable Paper, series WPU09120325, for December 2026. It is the not-seasonally-adjusted index level, June 2006=100, expressed in index points. This provides index-based OCC exposure, not a dollar price per ton. This market expressly uses the first value published by BLS for that reporting month, including an initially preliminary value. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not affect resolution. The comparison is strictly greater than the strike, using the original BLS-reported precision without additional rounding; equality resolves to No. BLS is the binding source. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU09120325) is a reference display; revised FRED history is not a substitute for the original BLS publication. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed and determination waits for publication, subject to the Contract's expiration and data-unavailability provisions. The publication deadline for this event is April 14, 2027 at 10:00 AM EDT. Missing data and outcome reviews follow the Contract's Expiration and Contingencies provisions. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 75
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Pulp, Paper, and Allied Products: Corrugated Recyclable Paper (BLS series WPU09120325; not seasonally adjusted; index June 2006=100) for December 2026 is above 75 index points, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Pulp, Paper, and Allied Products: Corrugated Recyclable Paper (BLS series WPU09120325; not seasonally adjusted; index June 2006=100) for December 2026 is above 80 index points, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 85
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Pulp, Paper, and Allied Products: Corrugated Recyclable Paper (BLS series WPU09120325; not seasonally adjusted; index June 2006=100) for December 2026 is above 85 index points, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Pulp, Paper, and Allied Products: Corrugated Recyclable Paper (BLS series WPU09120325; not seasonally adjusted; index June 2006=100) for December 2026 is above 60 index points, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Pulp, Paper, and Allied Products: Corrugated Recyclable Paper (BLS series WPU09120325; not seasonally adjusted; index June 2006=100) for December 2026 is above 65 index points, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Pulp, Paper, and Allied Products: Corrugated Recyclable Paper (BLS series WPU09120325; not seasonally adjusted; index June 2006=100) for December 2026 is above 70 index points, then the market resolves to Yes.
