KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability72 Hours 84.6%+4.0ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.9K
Liquidity
$29.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 22, 26, 4:00 PMJul 28, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
84.6%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 72 Hours
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall100% match · auto | Medium | 99% | — | $2.9K | $23.6K | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Low | 99% | — | $10.9K | $29.5K | 2 hours ago |
Also available on Polymarket
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
4.1 pts17h
+4.1pt99%
50%
50%
+16 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$21.3K
24h Vol$2.9K
POLYMARKETRules
If Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$10.9kJul 227d of dataJul 28
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Rules
If Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday.
- Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
- The chart published on Jul 28, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix.
- Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.