KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Kaden Honeycutt (99%)
Resolved: Oct 17, 2026, 2:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Kaden Honeycutt
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
14%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Layne Riggs34%
Chandler Smith18%
Brent Crews7%
William Sawalich5%
Frankie Muniz1%
Clayton Green1%
Jackson Lee1%
Ty Majeski9%
Kaden Honeycutt99%
Tristan McKee4%
Kaden HoneycuttWon
Jake GarciaLost
Ben RhodesLost
Landen LewisLost
Layne RiggsLost
Ty MajeskiLost
Christian EckesLost
Chandler SmithLost
Brent CrewsLost
Tristan McKeeLost
Daniel HemricLost
William SawalichLost
Leland Honeyman JrLost
Giovanni RuggieroLost
Grant EnfingerLost
Stewart FriesenLost
Connor MosackLost
Tanner GrayLost
Andres Perez de LaraLost
Corey LaJoieLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the world achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill Google reach net-zero carbon emissions before 2030?
Manifold MarketsF1 Drivers' Champion
PolymarketNASCAR Cup Series Champion
KalshiNASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)
PolymarketWill the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?
PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at the 2026 Zero Carbon Bioethanol 150, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR.
- Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience.
- If the named outcome retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
