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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. MT-01 Democratic nominee?
MT-01 Democratic nominee?

MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Sam Forstag (94%)

Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, 6:01 PM

Winning Outcome

Sam Forstag

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Matt Rains
Matt Rains 0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$456.9

Liquidity

$664.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 0.1%

Market data

Updated 9 days ago

Stale
Jan 6, 26, 12:00 AMJun 2, 27, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Matt Rains0%
Ryan Busse1%
Sam Forstag94%
Russell Cleveland1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 3Jun 3Jun 3
Outcome24hChance
Ryan Busse
Ryan Busse
-82.5%
1%
Sam Forstag
Sam Forstag
+76.0%
94%
Russell Cleveland
Russell Cleveland
-0.3%
1%
Matt Rains
Matt Rains
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Sam Forstag wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Matt Rains wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Russell Cleveland wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Ryan Busse wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Sam Forstag wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Matt Rains wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Russell Cleveland wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Ryan Busse wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.