KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityKen Paxton, 27+ pts 100%+0.8%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$41
Liquidity
$668.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
93.2% / 99.8%
Spread
7.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
May 20, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
100%
Selected outcome
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts99%
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Ken Paxton wins the 2026 U.S.
- Senate primary election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Paxton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.