KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (95%)
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, 2:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityYes 95%-4.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$241.1K
Liquidity
$834.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
94.0% / 95.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 days ago
StaleAug 26, 25, 9:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes95%
No5%
95%
5%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 95% | — | $241.1K | $834.2K | 21 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets92% match · verified | — | 99% | — | — | — | 20 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Taylor Swift marry Travis Kelce before the end of 2026?
Closed
Resolved
Yes (99%)
99%
1%
Community forecast68 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are married before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.1k99.0%KALSHIYes21d ago
KALSHIYes21d agoVolume trend
$241.1kJul 26d of dataJul 7
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Rules
If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are married before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.