Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 28-09-2026 98.7%+2.5ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 12:07 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before 03-08-20262%
Volume trend
$450Jul 208d of dataJul 29
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Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market is independent multiple choice.
- Each option represents a target date by which Christopher Nolan's film The Odyssey (2026) must cross the $1,000,000,000 ($1 billion) USD worldwide box office milestone.
- Primary Source: The worldwide box office gross as reported by The Numbers or Box Office Mojo.
- If a conflict or reporting lag arises, the highest verified figure between these two sources will be used.
- Milestone Date: The date of crossing will be based on the official tracking day the box office total surpassed $1 billion (e.g., if Sunday, August 9, 2026 box office numbers push the total over $1 billion, the crossing date is August 9, even if those final numbers are published on August 10).