KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 100 95%Market line of 12 lines
Above 100 95%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$12.5K
Open interest
$24.8K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 5:22 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 2:29 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 100, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Lowe's Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 95
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 95, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 96
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 96, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 104
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 104, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 97
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 97, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 101
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 101, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 98
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 98, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 92
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 92, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 99
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 100, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 107
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 107 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 113
- If the Carbon Arc Lowe's Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 113 , then the market resolves to Yes.