KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Oil / Gas / Diesel (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 2:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Afford / Affordable / Affordability40%
AI / Artificial Intelligence8%
Tariff18%
Oil / Gas / Diesel99%
Corrupt / Corruption55%
Inflation28%
Republican58%
2028 / Campaign50%
Trump (3+ times)53%
Billionaire19%
Iran / Iranian37%
Healthcare66%
Data Center15%
Event does not qualify1%
Oil / Gas / DieselWon
Corrupt / CorruptionLost
Before close: 99% ·
RepublicanLost
Before close: 99% ·
HealthcareLost
Before close: 99% ·
2028 / CampaignLost
Before close: 97% ·
Trump (3+ times)Lost
Before close: 97% ·
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
TariffLost
InflationLost
BillionaireLost
Iran / IranianLost
Data CenterLost
Before close: 1% ·
Event does not qualifyLost
Before close: 1% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Jon Ossoff says Oil / Gas / Diesel as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Jon Ossoff speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Oil / Gas / Diesel
- If Jon Ossoff says Oil / Gas / Diesel as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If Jon Ossoff says Corrupt / Corruption as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican
- If Jon Ossoff says Republican as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Jon Ossoff says Healthcare as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2028 / Campaign
- If Jon Ossoff says 2028 / Campaign as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If Jon Ossoff says Trump (3+ times) as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Jon Ossoff says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Jon Ossoff says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Jon Ossoff says Tariff as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If Jon Ossoff says Inflation as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Billionaire
- If Jon Ossoff says Billionaire as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Jon Ossoff says Iran / Iranian as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Jon Ossoff says Data Center as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.