What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell?
DogecoinOne-OffMemecoinPoliticsElection13d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Election 77%Leader of 15 outcomes
Election 77%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$578.4
Open interest
$548.4
Low open interestSpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 7:50 PM UTCOct 21, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Raphael Warnock says Election as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Raphael Warnock speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Election
- If Raphael Warnock says Election as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democracy
- If Raphael Warnock says Democracy as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If Raphael Warnock says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fraud
- If Raphael Warnock says Fraud as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Raphael Warnock says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Raphael Warnock says Iran / Iranian as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted
- If Raphael Warnock says Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If Raphael Warnock says Corrupt / Corruption as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- ICE
- If Raphael Warnock says ICE as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican
- If Raphael Warnock says Republican as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Raphael Warnock says Healthcare as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If Raphael Warnock says Trump (3+ times) as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Supreme Court
- If Raphael Warnock says Supreme Court as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Billionaire
- If Raphael Warnock says Billionaire as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.