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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Los Angeles mayor matchup
Los Angeles mayor matchup

Los Angeles mayor matchup

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass (99%)

Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, 12:34 AM

Winning Outcome

Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

99%

Consensus
Current implied probability
Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt
Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt 2%+1.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

77 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$11.7K

Liquidity

$68.5K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale
Apr 10, 26, 12:00 AMJun 2, 27, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt2%
Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass99%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 7Jun 8Jun 8
Outcome24hChance
Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt
Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt
+1.0%
2%
Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass
Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass
+1.0%
99%
Karen Bass vs. Adam Miller
Karen Bass vs. Adam Miller
1%
Karen Bass vs. Rae Huang
Karen Bass vs. Rae Huang
1%
Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt
Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt
1%
Nithya Raman vs. Adam Miller
Nithya Raman vs. Adam Miller
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Nithya Raman and Karen Bass advance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Nithya Raman (USELECTION), Karen Bass (USELECTION).
  • All conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary.
  • If Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt advance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Nithya Raman and Karen Bass advance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Nithya Raman (USELECTION), Karen Bass (USELECTION).
  • All conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary.
  • If Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt advance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes.