KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: At least 53 (80%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 2:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityAt least 51 99%+1.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$105.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 49.0%
Spread
28.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 5:00 PMJul 1, 26, 1:59 PM
Trends
49%
91%
79%
80%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· At least 51
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $2K | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Low | 99% | — | $2.6K | $105.2 | 27 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
ISM Manufacturing PMI - June 2026
28.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
53.0–53.9 (100%)
+62.0pt100%
-0.1pt0%
-1.5pt0%
+7 more outcomes
24 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$4.9K
24h Vol$2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 51, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 52, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 53, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 54, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 55, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 56, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 51, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 52, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 53, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 54, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 55, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Jun 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 56, then the market resolves to Yes.