PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Current implied probability
52.0–52.9 43%+13.0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$130.3
Liquidity
$5.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 43.0%
Spread
616.7%
Wide spread7d Change
-12.5%
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 10:12 PMJul 1, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
43%
42%
39%
37%
30%
25%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Also available on Kalshi
ISM Manufacturing PMI in June
1.0%12d
-1.0%45%
86%
82%
+5 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$148.7
24h Vol$0.1
KALSHIRules
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for June 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for June 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on July 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for June 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for June 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on July 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.