KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 2.0M bpd 95%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$12.2
Liquidity
$359
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 7:00 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Venezuela crude oil production in September
KalshiWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketBrent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 8?
PolymarketWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 8?
PolymarketBrent crude oil price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiRules
If Iran’s average daily crude oil production for August 2026 is the named outcome (million barrels per day), as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OPEC
- The Underlying is Iran’s crude oil production based on secondary sources, as shown in the OPEC crude oil production table.
- OPEC reports this figure in thousand barrels per day; for purposes of this market, [X] million barrels per day equals [X × 1,000] thousand barrels per day.
- Later revisions, corrections, or subsequent reports will not be considered.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
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- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
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- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
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- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iran crude oil production in August?
- Kalshi prices At least 2.0M bpd at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Iran crude oil production in August resolve?
- Iran crude oil production in August is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Iran crude oil production in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Iran’s average daily crude oil production for August 2026 is the named outcome (million barrels per day), as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.