KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 7,675 or above (75%)
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 2:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7,675 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
7,660 or above 99%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30.7K
Liquidity
$38.1K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 26, 8:00 PMAug 25, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
7,690 or above19%
7,575 or above99%
7,650 or above98%
7,695 or above4%
7,680 or above65%
7,645 or above60%
7,670 or above91%
7,660 or above99%
7,700 or above2%
7,655 or above99%
7,715 or above1%
7,685 or above29%
7,675 or above75%
7,665 or above96%
7,570 or above0%
7,640 or above80%
7,600 or above99%
7,705 or above1%
7,725 or above0%
7,625 or above92%
7,630 or above90%
7,585 or above0%
7,710 or above1%
7,750 or above0%
7,635 or above0%
7,620 or above94%
7,780 or above0%
7,720 or above0%
7,740 or above0%
7,500 or above0%
7,505 or above0%
7,510 or above0%
7,515 or above0%
7,520 or above0%
7,525 or above0%
7,530 or above0%
7,535 or above0%
7,540 or above0%
7,545 or above0%
7,550 or above0%
7,555 or above0%
7,560 or above0%
7,565 or above0%
7,580 or above0%
7,590 or above0%
7,595 or above0%
7,605 or above0%
7,610 or above0%
7,615 or above0%
7,730 or above0%
7,735 or above0%
7,745 or above0%
7,755 or above0%
7,760 or above0%
7,765 or above0%
7,770 or above0%
7,775 or above0%
7,785 or above0%
7,790 or above0%
7,795 or above0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
98%
97%
96%
95%
95%
91%
91%
81%
75%
65%
29%
19%
5%
Rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 25, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7499.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on August 25, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after August 25, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 25, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7504.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T+0.8pt98%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.2M
- 24h Vol
- $121.6K
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes70.4%
- No29.6%
- Total Vol
- $87.4K
- 24h Vol
- $87.4K
LIMITLESSNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes84.5%
- No15.5%
- Total Vol
- $79.7K
- 24h Vol
- $77.7K
LIMITLESSTesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $64.6K
- 24h Vol
- $63.1K
KALSHIS&P price on Aug 25, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,605 or above98%
- 7,610 or above98%
- 7,625 or above97%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $48.2K
- 24h Vol
- $47.9K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA70.6%
- Apple+2.5pt15.7%
- Alphabet11.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.2M
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 25, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 25?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of August 24 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P price on Aug 25, 2026 at 10am EDT??
- Kalshi prices 7,660 or above at 99% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does S&P price on Aug 25, 2026 at 10am EDT? resolve?
- S&P price on Aug 25, 2026 at 10am EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 25, 2026.
- How is S&P price on Aug 25, 2026 at 10am EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the S&P 500 index value on Aug 25, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7499.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.