PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Up 93%+43.5pt
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$26.5K
Liquidity
$21.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
92.0% / 94.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 12:10 PMAug 25, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on August 25, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on August 25, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Open markets
EquitiesPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T+0.8pt98%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.2M
- 24h Vol
- $121.6K
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes70.4%
- No29.6%
- Total Vol
- $87.4K
- 24h Vol
- $87.4K
LIMITLESSNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes84.5%
- No15.5%
- Total Vol
- $79.7K
- 24h Vol
- $77.7K
LIMITLESSTesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $64.6K
- 24h Vol
- $63.1K
KALSHIS&P price on Aug 25, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,605 or above98%
- 7,610 or above98%
- 7,625 or above97%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $48.2K
- 24h Vol
- $47.9K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA70.6%
- Apple+2.5pt15.7%
- Alphabet11.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.2M
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 25, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 25?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- STRC hits $100 by…
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25??
- Polymarket prices Up at 93% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25? resolve?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25? is scheduled to resolve on August 25, 2026.
- How is SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on August 25, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.