KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Microsoft · —
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Stored price
Microsoft 41.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Microsoft 41.5%Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$249
Open interest
$99
Low open interestBid / Ask
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MicrosoftSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 23, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Microsoft
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
PolymarketOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRules
If Microsoft is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Artificial Analysis - Image Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Microsoft
- If Microsoft is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI
- If OpenAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reve
- If Reve is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- HiDream
- If HiDream is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bytedance
- If Bytedance is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nvidia
- If Nvidia is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Recraft
- If Recraft is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SpaceXAI
- If SpaceXAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Black Forest Labs
- If Black Forest Labs is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Krea
- If Krea is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.