KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (80%)
Resolved: Sep 9, 2026, 8:00 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 80%
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:45 PM UTCSep 9, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes20%
No80%
80%
20%
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PolymarketRules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSDRTI before 4:00 PM EDT on Sep 9, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSDRTI before 3:45 PM EDT on September 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 4 decimal places.