Settled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 3, 2026, 6:01 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningNot meaningfully pricedStale data
Data as of Oct 4, 2026, 4:27 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
OKX0%
Bybit2%
Coinbase1%
Kraken0%
Upbit1%
BinanceLost
BybitLost
CoinbaseLost
KrakenLost
OKXLost
UpbitLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Linera listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
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PolymarketJumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketCambria listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketJumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
LimitlessIf Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Umia's token is listed for spot trading on the exchange named in the title within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only an official token launched by Umia after the creation of this market will qualify.
- Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
- The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable.
- A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET).
