KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: above 4.35 million (99%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 8:55 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 8:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
above 4.35 million 99%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22.7K
Liquidity
$33.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 45 days ago
StaleMay 20, 26, 6:38 PM UTCAug 28, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
above 4.5 million99%
above 4.45 million99%
above 4.55 million99%
above 4.65 million99%
above 4.6 million99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 4350000.0 gold subs in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 4400000.0 gold subs in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 4450000.0 gold subs in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 4500000.0 gold subs in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 4550000.0 gold subs in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 4600000.0 gold subs in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.