KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
68° to 69° 42.7%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 15, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 15, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 15, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 16, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 71 F on September 15, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 69 F on September 15, 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 16, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+92.0pt95.2%
- 83° or above-1.0pt1%
- 77° to 78°-48.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Houston+77.0pt99%
- Seattle+32.0pt99%
- Chicago+8.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $584.6K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $67,000 or above98%
- $68,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 200-219+9.0pt32.7%
- 220-239+10.0pt23.1%
- 180-199-6.5pt21.1%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- 40-6460%
- 65-89+19.0pt37%
- 90-114+0.6pt3%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt13.5%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.2pt12.5%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-1.5pt11.5%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- BTC price on Sep 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 15, 2026?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 15, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 15, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 16, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 68° to 69° at 43% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 16, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 16, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 16, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 16, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 16, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Polymarket.