KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability96° or below 49.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 2:00 PMJul 29, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
97° to 98°46%
Compare venues· 96° or below
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 52% | — | $5.3K | $15.5K | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Medium | 53% | — | $5.3K | $4.4K | 8 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Houston on July 28?
5.0 pts3h
-5.0pt48.1%
+1.0pt30.6%
+7.5pt17.6%
+8 more outcomes
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$13.1K
24h Vol$5.3K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 97° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Houston-Hobby, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5.3kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 97° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Houston-Hobby, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.