PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability96-97°F 50%+4.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$11.6K
Liquidity
$20.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 1:05 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
96-97°F51%
Compare venues· 96-97°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 51% | — | $11.6K | $20.7K | 8 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Medium | 53% | — | $3.8K | $3K | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Houston on Jul 28, 2026?
1d
52.5%
34.6%
9.9%
+3 more outcomes
67 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.8K
24h Vol$3.8K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$11.6kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.