KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Current implied probability
91° to 92° 95.2%+78.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
91° to 92° 95.2%+78.0ptMarket quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$28.4K
Open interest
$22.9K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
91° to 92°95.2%
90° or below1%
93° to 94°1%
95° to 96°1%
97° to 98°1%
99° or above1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Dallas on October 1?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Dallas on October 2?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Dallas on October 1?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Dallas on October 2?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 91° to 92°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas (CLIDFW) for Sep 30, 2026, is between 91-92° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas (CLIDFW) for Sep 30, 2026, is less than 91° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 93° to 94°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas (CLIDFW) for Sep 30, 2026, is between 93-94° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 95° to 96°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas (CLIDFW) for Sep 30, 2026, is between 95-96° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 97° to 98°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas (CLIDFW) for Sep 30, 2026, is between 97-98° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 99° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas (CLIDFW) for Sep 30, 2026, is greater than 98° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.