KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 83° to 84° (99%)
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, 11:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
83° to 84° 95.2%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$104.5K
Liquidity
$429.7K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 46 days ago
StaleJul 15, 26, 2:00 PMJul 17, 26, 7:59 AM
Probability Timeline
87° or above6%
83° to 84°99%
81° to 82°48%
79° to 80°12%
78° or below3%
85° to 86°3%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 79°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,000 or above99%
- $75,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 200-219+7.0pt26.2%
- 180-199+4.0pt22.4%
- 220-239+4.0pt19.6%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above98%
- $69,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+11.0pt55.7%
- 75° or below+14.0pt33%
- 78° to 79°-21.0pt6.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIETH price on Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,360 or above99%
- $2,240 or above99%
- $2,280 or above98%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $192.4K
- 24h Vol
- $192.4K
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+1.2pt10.8%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.0pt9.9%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in LA on Jul 16, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 83° to 84° at 95% as of July 17, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in LA on Jul 16, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in LA on Jul 16, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on July 17, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in LA on Jul 16, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 79°, then the market resolves to Yes.