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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. New Mexico Republican Governor nominee?
New Mexico Republican Governor nominee?

New Mexico Republican Governor nominee?

17.1% (24h)Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Gregg Hull (99%)

Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, 4:09 AM

Winning Outcome

Gregg Hull

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

81%

Consensus
Current implied probability
Gregg Hull
Gregg Hull 99%+17.1%
Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$426.1

Liquidity

$771.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.1% / 99.9%

Spread

0.8%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 10 days ago

Stale
Jul 3, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Gregg Hull84%
Doug Turner1%
Duke Rodriguez1%
John Sanchez1%
Brian Cillessen1%
Mark Murphy0%
Judith Nakamura0%
Rebecca Dow0%
Yvette Herrell0%
Steve Lanier0%
Susana Martinez0%
Mark Ronchetti0%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 2Jun 2Jun 3
Outcome24hChance
Gregg Hull
Gregg Hull
+17.1%
99%
Doug Turner
Doug Turner
-15.0%
1%
Brian Cillessen
Brian Cillessen
1%
Mark Murphy
Mark Murphy
+0.8%
1%
Judith Nakamura
Judith Nakamura
+0.8%
1%
Rebecca Dow
Rebecca Dow
+0.8%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Gregg Hull wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Brian Cillessen wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Duke Rodriguez wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Murphy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Judith Nakamura wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Rebecca Dow wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Gregg Hull wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Brian Cillessen wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Duke Rodriguez wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Murphy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Judith Nakamura wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Rebecca Dow wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.