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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?
New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

0.9% (24h)Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Deb Haaland (100%)

Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, 2:39 AM

Winning Outcome

Deb Haaland

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Deb Haaland
Deb Haaland 100%+0.9%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$428.4

Liquidity

$780

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.7% / 100.0%

Spread

0.3%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 10 days ago

Stale
Apr 1, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Deb Haaland100%
Sam Bregman0%
Ken Miyagishima1%
Howie Morales1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 3
Outcome24hChance
Ken Miyagishima
Ken Miyagishima
+0.8%
1%
Howie Morales
Howie Morales
+0.8%
1%
Deb Haaland
Deb Haaland
+0.9%
100%
Sam Bregman
Sam Bregman
-3.1%
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Deb Haaland wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Ken Miyagishima wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Sam Bregman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Howie Morales wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Deb Haaland wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Ken Miyagishima wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Sam Bregman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Howie Morales wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.