KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 16.2% · —
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Stored price
Above 18.5% 46.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 18.5% 46.5%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$44.9K
Open interest
$25.4K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 16.2%Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 13, 26, 2:00 AM UTCOct 19, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 16.2%
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PolymarketRules
If Google scores above 18.5% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 12, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 16.2%
- If Google scores above 16.2% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.4%
- If Google scores above 17.4% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.2%
- If Google scores above 18.2% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.0%
- If Google scores above 18.0% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.5%
- If Google scores above 18.5% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.7%
- If Google scores above 18.7% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.9%
- If Google scores above 18.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 19.5%
- If Google scores above 19.5% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20.8%
- If Google scores above 20.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.