KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 204 thousand (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 8:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 205 thousand1%
Above 204 thousand57%
Above 206 thousand36%
Above 207 thousand1%
Above 204 thousandWon
Before close: 99% ·
Above 201 thousandLost
Before close: 99% ·
Above 203 thousandLost
Before close: 95% ·
Above 197 thousandLost
Before close: 95% ·
Above 198 thousandLost
Before close: 95% ·
Above 199 thousandLost
Before close: 92% ·
Above 202 thousandLost
Before close: 90% ·
Above 200 thousandLost
Before close: 87% ·
Above 206 thousandLost
Before close: 32% ·
Above 209 thousandLost
Before close: 9% ·
Above 211 thousandLost
Before close: 4% ·
Above 208 thousandLost
Before close: 3% ·
Above 205 thousandLost
Before close: 5% ·
Above 207 thousandLost
Before close: 2% ·
Above 210 thousandLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 204000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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Rules for each outcome
- Above 204 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 204000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 201 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 201000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 203 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 203000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 197 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 197000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 198 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 198000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 199 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 199000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 202 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 202000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 200000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 206 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 206000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 209 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 209000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 211 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 211000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 208 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 208000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 205 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 205000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 207 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 207000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 210 thousand
- If Alphabet Inc. reports Above 210000 headcount in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
