KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above $4349.99 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 5:03 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Above $4349.99 99%Leader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 2:01 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Above $4349.9999%
Above $4353.991%
Above $4351.9999%
Above $4359.998%
Above $4355.9914%
Above $4347.9973%
Above $4357.9949%
Above $4361.9937%
Above $4365.995%
Above $4331.9999%
Above $4333.9999%
Above $4363.9916%
Above $4345.9999%
Above $4343.9995%
Above $4335.9990%
Above $4299.990%
Above $4301.990%
Above $4303.990%
Above $4305.990%
Above $4307.990%
Above $4309.990%
Above $4311.990%
Above $4313.990%
Above $4315.990%
Above $4317.990%
Above $4319.990%
Above $4321.990%
Above $4323.990%
Above $4325.990%
Above $4327.990%
Above $4329.990%
Above $4337.990%
Above $4339.990%
Above $4341.990%
Above $4367.990%
Above $4369.990%
Above $4371.990%
Above $4373.990%
Above $4375.990%
Above $4377.990%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
95%
90%
73%
49%
37%
16%
14%
8%
5%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT is above 4299.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT is above 4301.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.220099%
- Above 4.240099%
- Above 4.340099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- 24h Vol
- $419.7K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt36%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt28%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt12%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+32 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 31+2.5pt14%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.465099%
- Above 4.440099%
- Above 4.435099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $116.1K
- 24h Vol
- $116K
KALSHIDiesel prices tomorrow
- Above $6.48099%
- Above $6.48599%
- Above $6.49099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.3K
- 24h Vol
- $94.7K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 21, 2026?
- Diesel prices this week
- What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- Brent crude oil price on September 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- South Carolina gas prices tomorrow
- New Jersey gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gold price on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET?
- Kalshi prices Above $4349.99 at 99% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Gold price on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET resolve?
- Gold price on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Gold price on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT is above 4299.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.