KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above $4023.99 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 9:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above $4029.992%
Above $4023.9999%
Above $4027.9995%
Above $4031.991%
Above $4033.993%
Above $4025.999%
Above $4035.9917%
Above $4045.999%
Above $4041.9914%
Above $4037.990%
Above $4039.990%
Above $4043.990%
Above $4047.990%
Above $4049.990%
Above $4051.990%
Above $4053.990%
Above $4055.990%
Above $4057.990%
Above $4059.990%
Above $4061.990%
Above $4063.990%
Above $4065.990%
Above $4067.990%
Above $4069.990%
Above $4071.990%
Above $4073.990%
Above $4075.990%
Above $4077.990%
Above $4079.990%
Above $4081.990%
Above $4083.990%
Above $4085.990%
Above $4087.990%
Above $4089.990%
Above $4091.990%
Above $4093.990%
Above $4095.990%
Above $4097.990%
Above $4099.990%
Above $4101.990%
Above $4103.990%
Above $4105.990%
Above $4107.990%
Above $4109.990%
Above $4111.990%
Above $4113.990%
Above $4115.990%
Above $4117.990%
Above $4119.990%
Above $4121.990%
Above $4123.990%
Above $4125.990%
Above $4127.990%
Above $4129.990%
Above $4131.990%
Above $4133.990%
Above $4135.990%
Above $4137.990%
Above $4139.990%
Above $4141.990%
Above $4143.990%
Above $4145.990%
Above $4147.990%
Above $4149.990%
Above $4151.990%
Above $4153.990%
Above $4155.990%
Above $4157.990%
Above $4023.99Won
Before close: 75% ·
Above $4027.99Lost
Before close: 68% ·
Above $4025.99Lost
Before close: 87% ·
Above $4035.99Lost
Before close: 17% ·
Above $4041.99Lost
Before close: 14% ·
Above $4045.99Lost
Before close: 9% ·
Above $4031.99Lost
Before close: 8% ·
Above $4033.99Lost
Before close: 3% ·
Above $4029.99Lost
Before close: 10% ·
Above $4037.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4039.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4043.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4047.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4049.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4051.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4053.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4055.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4057.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4059.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Above $4061.99Lost
Before close: 0% ·
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PolymarketRules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4023.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA
Rules for each outcome
- Above $4023.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4023.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4027.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4027.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4025.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4025.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4035.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4035.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4041.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4041.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4045.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4045.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4031.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4031.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4033.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4033.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4029.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4029.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4037.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4037.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4039.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4039.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4043.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4043.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4047.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4047.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4049.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4049.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4051.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4051.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4053.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4053.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4055.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4055.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4057.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4057.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4059.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4059.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4061.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4061.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4063.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4063.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4065.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4065.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4067.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4067.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4069.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4069.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4071.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4071.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4073.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4073.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4075.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4075.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4077.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4077.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4079.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4079.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4081.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4081.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4083.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4083.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4085.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4085.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4087.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4087.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4089.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4089.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4091.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4091.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4093.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4093.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4095.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4095.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4097.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4097.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4099.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4099.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4101.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4101.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4103.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4103.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4105.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4105.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4107.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4107.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4109.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4109.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4111.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4111.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4113.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4113.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4115.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4115.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4117.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4117.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4119.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4119.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4121.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4121.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4123.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4123.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4125.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4125.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4127.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4127.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4129.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4129.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4131.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4131.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4133.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4133.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4135.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4135.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4137.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4137.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4139.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4139.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4141.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4141.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4143.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4143.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4145.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4145.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4147.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4147.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4149.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4149.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4151.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4151.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4153.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4153.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4155.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4155.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4157.99
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 4157.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.