KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove $3.6 trillion 56%+11.0%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$29
Liquidity
$5.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 56.0%
Spread
24.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Feb 5, 26, 3:00 PMApr 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above $3.6 trillion56%
Volume trend
$29Jul 64d of dataJul 25
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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KALSHIUS Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $29.0 trillion: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
If France Nominal GDP is above $3.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data.
- This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.
- If France Nominal GDP is above $3.3 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If France Nominal GDP is above $3.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If France Nominal GDP is above $3.5 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.