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Data as of Nov 7, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Trump · —
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Stored price
Trump 91%Leader of 16 outcomes
Trump 91%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$953.4
Open interest
$987.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
TrumpSpread
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Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 10:00 PM UTCNov 22, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Trump
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich new Senators will vote as left wing as Elizabeth Warren in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elizabeth Warren ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump say this week?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during 60 Minutes?
KalshiRules
If Elizabeth Warren says Trump as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Elizabeth Warren speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Trump
- If Elizabeth Warren says Trump as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If Elizabeth Warren says Democrat as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If Elizabeth Warren says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Elizabeth Warren says Healthcare as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Billionaire
- If Elizabeth Warren says Billionaire as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If Elizabeth Warren says Corrupt / Corruption as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax
- If Elizabeth Warren says Tax as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wall Street
- If Elizabeth Warren says Wall Street as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Elizabeth Warren says Tariff as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Social Security
- If Elizabeth Warren says Social Security as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Elizabeth Warren says Data Center as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Student Loan / Student Debt
- If Elizabeth Warren says Student Loan / Student Debt as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Crypto / Cryptocurrency
- If Elizabeth Warren says Crypto / Cryptocurrency as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Credit Card
- If Elizabeth Warren says Credit Card as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Insider Trading
- If Elizabeth Warren says Insider Trading as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.