KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJustin Bieber 13%-2.0ptLeader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$21.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
The Weeknd6%
Large trades
$2.5k98.0%KALSHINicki Minaj — No20d ago
KALSHINicki Minaj — No20d agoVolume trend
$3.6kJul 227d of dataJul 28
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If The Weeknd is featured on Ariana Grande's album titled 'petal' before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Doja Cat is featured on Ariana Grande's album titled 'petal' before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SZA is featured on Ariana Grande's album titled 'petal' before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nicki Minaj is featured on Ariana Grande's album titled 'petal' before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Justin Bieber is featured on Ariana Grande's album titled 'petal' before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Victoria Monét is featured on Ariana Grande's album titled 'petal' before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.