KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (73%)
Resolved: Oct 16, 2026, 8:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 16, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes73%
No27%
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the value of the EUR/USD exchange rate is at least the value of the EUR/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 4:30 PM EDT on October 16, 2026 At 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth
- The market resolves based on the Close price of the EUR/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network At 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 16, 2026.
- The Target Price of the value of the EUR/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 4:30 PM EDT on October 16, 2026 equals the value of the EUR/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at the opening of the 15-minute window. "Above" means strictly greater than ( ).
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- Rounding to 5 decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified.
- If an Expiration Value cannot be determined at the specified time, the market may be resolved pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process under Rule 7.1, including by reference to a substantially equivalent replacement feed published by the Source Agency.