This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 11, 2026, 1:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 69%
Yes 69%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$14.2K
Open interest
$8.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
69.0% / 72.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 11, 26, 1:45 AM UTCOct 11, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Yes69%
No31%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 7 decimal places.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.